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Source: Thailand Condo News  Sep 28, 2019

Escalating Land Prices Make Bangkok Condos Expensive Despite Oversupply

Escalating Land Prices Make Bangkok Condos Expensive Despite Oversupply
Source: Thailand Condo News  Sep 28, 2019
As a result of land prices going up, Bangkok condo prices are expected to remain high despite the new city plan that will enlarge development area for condo projects. Hence anyone expecting condo prices to fall can rest assure that it will not happen. This is according to a director of the city planning division for the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration, who further said the new Bangkok city plan will help condo development flourish because the regulations offer more development area for projects.

"More development area should lower condo unit prices, but that is unlikely because of high land prices," the director from BMA said. The city plan unlocks locations along new mass transit lines for residential development.
City zoning in some locations will change to orange (medium-density residential zones) from yellow or green (lower-density residential zones), adding tens of thousands of rai to the former.
The plan also increases areas in the red zone, which allows commercial and high-density residential development, particularly in the central business district (CBD) locations and sub-CBD areas.
Condos with a construction area of 10,000 sqm or more will be allowed to develop within 500 metres of a mass transit station and 800 metres from an interchange station. Other regulations to benefit condo development include bonus areas and a 25% reduction in allowable car parking space near 11 pilot mass transit stations.
The new city plan is a final draft, and a fourth revision is awaiting the election of a new Bangkok governor. The earliest it could take effect is the end of 2020.
Meanwhile a condo developer indicated that this year's new condo supply is expected to slump by more than 18%. In the third quarter, the number of new condos launched declined by 30% from the same period last year. The decrease was carried over from the first and second quarters after the loan-to-value (LTV) limits took effect on April 1.
The LTV limits should be postponed if [the government] wants to boost the property market and the economy, according to many developers. are saying. While others are saying that property incentives are needed to sustain the residential market.
Many are suggesting that new condo supply launches should be put on hold until the existing supply drains out. The existing condo supply will take at least 18 months to be sold if there are no new launches in the fourth quarter.  The LTV limits have a psychological effect on homebuyers.
Condo buyers slowed purchases because the new lending rules have frightened them more than the impact alone would have.
Property consultants are urging developers to adapt to change amid many negative factors like the economic slowdown and limitations from the new lending curbs. Condo developers are advised to clear their existing unsold stock and try to avoid launching new condo supply as the condo market continues to slow. The Thailand Condo market is not expected to recover anytime soon and it is expected that the economic slump will progress over the next 2 years with recovery only expected in late 2022.